The exclamation mark "!" attributed to anyone who has cried out "Eureka! eureka!" (I have found it! I have found it!), an expression of triumph concerning a discovery .... a moment of truth
Monday, November 24, 2008
What is value ?
How does restructuring create or re-create value for shareholders?
1)Business portfolio restructuring
2)Financial restructuring
3)Organisational restructuring
4)Operational restructuring
1)Business portfolio restructuring
It is imperative for management of a multi-business company to know which business are creating value and which are destroying value. A business is creating / destroying value if the value generated is greater / lesser than the capital invested.
2)Financial restructuring
Financial restructuring is generally aimed at rearranging the financial commitments of the company to match its underlying (restructured) cash flows, so as to achieve the following objectives.
> Preserve going concern and maintain / enhance stakeholder value.
> Ensure stakeholders are financially better off, compared to , say liquidation or "do nothing".
> Equitable return/ recovery to all stakeholders.
> Good chance of realising the enhanced return.
Financial arrangement may entail measures ranging from simple debt rescheduling and security enhancement to debt waiver,debt equity conversion and other creative schemes.There are a number of mechanisms for carrying out a financial restructuring exercise. Which mechanism to adopt depends on the financial distress level of the company and recovery potential to stakeholders.
3)Organisational Restructuring
A restructuring exercise will only be successful if the organisation structure is revamped or realingned to support the new corporate and business strategy. New management may need to be installed in order to beef up credibility and core competencies. Management may take this opportunity to rightsize the organisation to cut cost and raise productivity.
4)Operational Restructuring
A short-term profit improvement programme can be implemented to stop cash hemorrhage. Various cost reduction exercise such reduction of significant overhead costs, integration of facilities and shedding of loss-making operations can be carried out. Revenue enhancement can also be implemented through utilisation of excess capacity and optimising product / customer mix and pricing. However, the longer term, a process improvement exercise needs to be undertaken to improve efficiency and productivity, and reduce cost on a permanent basis.
Sunday, November 9, 2008
Key Retaining Factors - Soft skills
Identifies future needs,trends and business opportunities and takes initiatives to develop viable business
Strategy Translation
Transforms company or department mission and goals into practical action plans and prioritise accordingly to enable accomplishment of tasks in a timely manner
Resource Integration
Appropriately utilizes manpower,facilities and other resources to accomplish company business plans.
Innovativeness
Able to apply new ways of solving problems without being restricted by existing rules and preconceived ideas to manage changing environment.
Personal Integrity
Always distinguishes personal ambition from company's interest, takes custodian of and protects company assets, maintains confidentiality of information and operates in the best interest of the company.
Negotiation
Uses a win-win approach and conflict resolutions skills to achieve a successful agreement in the best interest of the company.
Dining goes digital at INAMO
The interactive ordering system is the core of INAMO restaurant in London table can order taxis for you and show you bus maps. You can play battleships with your co-diner, should conversation flag.
Saturday, November 8, 2008
Strike a Deal - Deadly Killer Applications (DKA)
1)Focus - target audience / group which is your trustee board, board of directors, nominator,funder,moderator,sponsors,investor etc.
2)Objective - purpose of the report, speech, letter, presentation, teaser, information memorandum is in order to achieve the desired end results or bottom line.
3)Bottom line - make it or break it i.e. realised sales / secure investments / funding / necessary approvals / mandates / gradings OR conviction only NOT COMMITMENT from counter parties (investors;bankers;certification bodies;sponsors; voters etc.)
Friday, November 7, 2008
Radical Investing
Thursday, November 6, 2008
Talent management
Wednesday, November 5, 2008
Business Model + Innovation
Tuesday, November 4, 2008
Sun Bear
1)Sun bear
2)Asiatic black bear
3)Sloth bear
4)Andean bear
5)Polar bear
6)Panda bear
7)North American black bear
8)Spectacled bear
Sun bears don't hibernate unlike their temperate cousins and have long tongues for extracting honey and insects. Sun bears are omnivores, they eat beetles, honey, seeds, termites and fruits.
Monday, November 3, 2008
Insolvency 101
Receiver - aiming at to sell the company as a going concern.
Administrator - planning for the organisation's survival or restructuring the business on a more advantageous basis.
Sunday, November 2, 2008
Iconoclasts
The most creative and innovative ideas have come from individuals who do what others say can not be done
Young Walt Disney spent hours staring at his drawing on a movie screen as his imagined motion pictures and illustrations combining in a revolutionary way.
Saturday, November 1, 2008
Forensic Accountant
Whom do they turn to for help to track the money trail? ....... Forensic Accountant
Just like forensic specialists who help police find vital links between evidence and criminals to enable convictions, forensic accountant do the same on money trail.
Forensic accountant possesses three basic skills that is accounting, auditing and investigative skills. Forensic accountant are usually involved in three types of financial work:-
1)fraud investigations such as embezzlement
2)shareholder's dispute such as a dispute over a company's value
3)economic damages such as determining how much lost profit a business has suffered as a result of breach of contract.
Thursday, October 30, 2008
Fast Strategy
Thus, industries such as aerospace, healthcare,pharmaceutical, energy, retailing,advertising,financial services etc are engulfed by fast complex strategic change, need to be alert every day, week and month to review their strategy constantly i.e. need for strategic agility responses /flexibility.
Strategic agility is the ability to continuosly adjust and adapt strategic direction in core business, as a function of strategic ambitions and changing circumstances, not just new product or services, but also new business models and innovative ways to create value for company.
FAST STRATEGY key enabling capabilities:-
1. Strategic Sensitivity: both the sharpness of perception and the intensity of awareness and attention.
2. Resource Fluidity: the internal capability to reconfigure business systems and redeploy resources rapidly.
3. Collective Committment : the ability of the top team to make bold decisions - fast, without being bogged in "win-lose" politics.
Tuesday, October 28, 2008
Economies of scope ? or scale
The idea of economies of scope has been the underpinning for other sorts of corporate behaviour including mass production and Merger & Acquisitions, but particularly diversification. The desire to garner economies of scope was the driving force behind the vast international conglomerates built up in the 1970s and 1980s, including BTR and Hanson in the UK and ITT in the United States. The logic behind these amalgamations lay mostly in the scope for the companies to leverage their financial skills across a diversified range of industries.
A number of conglomerates put together in the 1990s relied on cross-selling, thus reaping economies of scope by using the same people and systems to market many different products. The combination of Travelers Group and Citicorp in 1998, for instance, was based on the logic of selling the financial products of the one by using the sales teams of the other.
Monday, October 27, 2008
Low water mark
Today's focus on the credit crisis and rising prices for food and oil has temporarily put another global scarcity in the shade: water.The United Nations predicts that by 2025, two-thirds of world 6.7 billion population representing 60 countries will experience severe water shortage measured by litres per person per day (i.e. litres per capita/day) at 135 litres per capita/day, bare minimum for a country to prosper. At present, only Kuwait and the United Arab Emirates fall short of this low-water mark in terms of theit naturally available renewable water resources.
Sunday, October 26, 2008
Cloud computing
"Google application" - https://www.google.com/a/
Saturday, October 25, 2008
IR vs PR
Investor Relation(IR) is about fairly disseminating of company fundamentals, far more than it is about marketing or promoting a corporate image.
IR provides information and analysis so that investors will be able to develop a well rounded understanding of the company and its strategies, help to achieve a fair market valuation for its securities, create a body of investor support and a climate of favourable opinion.
The result is a loyal shareholder base which gives the company the ability to approach its capital management exercises with confidence. Ultimately, this will be reflected in the demand for the company’s shares and the price of those shares.
Essentially, IR is a component of capital management and an element of corporate strategy.
Strategy Focused Organisation
The five key principles for a strategy-focused organisation
1) Translate the strategy to operational terms
> strategy maps
> Balanced Scorecards
2) Align the oganisation to the strategy
> corporate role
> business units synergies
> shared services synergies
3) Make strategy everyone's everyday job
> strategic awareness
> personal scorecards
> balanced paychecks
4) Make strategy a continual process
> link budgets and strategies
> analytics and information systems
> strategic learning
5) Mobilize change through executive leadership
> mobilization
> governance process
> strategic management systems
Friday, October 24, 2008
Snakes in Suit
Is Your Boss a Psychopaths ?
Psychopaths have a profound lack of empathy. They use other people callously and remorselessly for their own ends. They seduce victims with a hypnotic charm that masks their true nature as pathological liars, master con artists, and heartless manipulators. Easily bored, they crave constant stimulation, so they seek thrills from real-life "games" they can win -- and take pleasure from their power over other people.
by psychopathy expert Dr Robert D. Hare, Ph.D
Wednesday, October 22, 2008
Tuesday, October 21, 2008
Field of Dreams
Milestones
1987 Founded by Richard Elman
1994 Listed in Hong Kong
1996 Privatized
1997 Relisted in Singapore
1998 Cocoa & Refined Oil started
2000 Sugar started
2001 Started Noble Trade Finance and Noble Investments
2002 Coffee started
2003 Expansion into Ethanol ; Market cap US$1 billion
2004 Started petrochemicals
2005 Started carbon credits ; Listed on FTSE - Hang Seng Index
2006 Annual turnover US$13.7 billion from US$80million in 1987
source : www.thisisnoble.com
Asian casino
Investment: SGD6.5billion
Launch date: 4Q2009
Gaming area: 172,200 sqf
Gaming machines: 2,500
Retail area: 1.0m sqf
MICE area: 1.2m sqf
Hotel rooms: 2,600
Estimated job creation: 30,000
Resort World at Sentosa, Singapore
Investment: SGD6.0billion
Launch date: 1Q2010
Gaming area: 161,458 sqf
Gaming machines: 2,000
Retail area: n.a.
MICE area: 0.6m sqf
Hotel rooms: 1,800
Estimated job creation: 45,000
Monday, October 20, 2008
21st century Social Networking
Rising Risk ?
As US Congress wrestles with another bailout bill to try to contain the financial contagion, there's a potential killer bug out there whose next movement can't be predicted: the Credit Default Swap (CDS). In just over a decade these privately traded derivatives contracts have ballooned from nothing into a $54.6 trillion market. CDS are the fastest-growing major type of financial derivatives.
Second, terror at the potential for a financial Ebola virus radiating out from a failing institution and infecting dozens or hundreds of other companies - all linked to one another by CDS and other instruments - was a major reason that regulators stepped in to bail out Bear Stearns and buy out AIG, whose calamitous descent itself was triggered by losses on its CDS contracts .
Sunday, October 19, 2008
5 Misconceptions about China
1. Chinese culture is collectivist.
2. China has a centralized government.
3. China is a young nation.
4. The stock market in China is decoupled from the American stock market.
5. China is the world's biggest exporter.
Rationale/ conclusions :-
1. Chinese culture is collectivist
Different parts of China are trying different things to find the best formula. China does not have a grand plan for developing itself. It's very conscious that it's running the society as a series of experiments.
2. China has a centralized government
The process of evolution is experimentation. There is a lot of decentralisation in the process.The way this is moving forward is really a bottom-up process in which different localities will be doing different things.
3. China is a young nation.
China's economic emergence is unprecedented over the years in size, speed and scope and the South Korean "chaebol" model comes closest among the four to the type of capitalism ( i.e. US, Germany, Japan and South Korea) that may emerge in China. South Korean chaebol model would be dominated by large conglomerates that are not effectively family-owned anymore, but definitely family-controlled.
4.The stock market in China is decoupled from the American stock market.
Importantly, the difference in size makes China much more difficult to manage. China isn't sealed off from the rest of the world. Business in China is part of a complex global trading system that provides more different opportunities to progress.
5.China is the world's biggest exporter.
It will change extremely slowly particularly moving up in the value chain . The facts of the dependence on external innovation are very clear. In high-tech industries, 80 per cent of China's exports are from foreign companies including US. For high technology, China depends upon inputs and knowledge.
Disco tune saves lives
Deception Perception
Fraud Statistics
USD$250,000 median loss associated with male fraudsters
USD$142,000 median loss at public companies
USD$110,000 median loss associated with female fraudsters
USD$78,000 median loss associated with frauds at private companies
46% fraud detected by tips
41% frauds committed by employees earning less than USD $50,000
29% committed by accounting staff
20% found by accident
9% discovered by external auditors
2% committed by IT staff
Source : www.acfe.com
Saturday, October 18, 2008
The boy who saved Goldman Sach
Sixty-eight years later Sept 25, 2008, Goldman Sachs turned to that lad, now one of the richest men in the world, for a capital injection of $5 billion. The infusion of Warren Buffett’s money, and the backing of his reputation, means that Goldman has so far escaped the fate of Bear Stearns and Lehman Brothers during the recent credit crunch.
Mel Gibson Go Green
Other celebrity owners include actor Bruce Willis, Bollywood movie producer Shekhar Kapur, former cricketer Kapil Dev and former golfer Lee Westwood. Green Rubber Global reported to be valued over £130 milion.
Alternative to Downsizing
BRIC economies
There has been a sharp increase in the number of emerging-market companies acquiring established rich-world businesses and brands (see chart 2), starkly demonstrating that “globalisation” is no longer just another word for “Americanisation”. Within the past year, Budweiser, America’s favourite beer, has been bought by a Belgian-Brazilian conglomerate.
Friday, October 17, 2008
Blame the "financial" engineers
Key to downfall of US financial markets architecture by these financial engineers
1) OTC - Over the Counter Market means the trade are done off the exchange.
2) CDO - Collaterised Debt Obligations , namely derivatives of debt that are backed by mortgages.
3) CDS - Credit default Swaps, which are effectively guarantees of risks of default on debt. A seller of CDS pays out like an insurance policy in the event of the debt defaults.
4) Mark to Market - The value of securities held are priced at what the market price is, not at cost. However, if price are at firesale levels, banks may go bankcrupt.
US$ 80bil asset - Indonesian
Three key factors for rich Indonesians in placing their money offshore :-
1) product diversification - flexibility in investing their money in a wide array of portfolios
2) security - prefer to have geographical diversification in order to avoids polictical and security risks
3) tax incentives - Singapore doesn’t have witholding tax on interest so it’s the key thing.
We are all pirates ..
DVD pirates - Look at DVD pirates on Main Steet. They release films on DVD for US$5 just as Hollywod releases the fim in theaters.
Fashion pirates - Copy the 3-D design of garments, they can create trends. Trends can be disseminated so quickly and the new rapidly becomes old, we have season in fashions.
Music pirates - Most music remixes falls on the wrong side of copyright laws because they involve pirated samples, music clips and trade marks that are mashed up and reused.
Software pirates - iPhone firmware code was hecked and circumvented in order to be sold to black market resulting million dollar losses of revenue to Apple.
Piracy has ingrained into our culture and economy because of impact of remix culture and the open source movement. They are based on sharing and ultimately they are more powerful than most intellectual property law because they operate in the public domian, which is idefinable and mutable.
Thursday, October 16, 2008
10 billion photos
Fighting for Talents
Andy Li, promoted to Vice president recently of US$3.7-billion-in-sales China Agri-Industries Holdings
Andy Li, the 35-year-old head of finance for Hong Kong-based China Agri-Industries, is a perfect front man for Ethanol - renewable energy multi billion dollar business . He has taken a top job at one of the handful of state-owned companies selected to create a new industry for China. At the center of the country’s increasingly urgent push to develop sources of renewable fuel, China Agri was recently spun off from Cofco, China’s largest oils and food importer and exporter. China Agri is a food processor that has set its sights on the biofuels business, a change that involves a lot more than introducing new equipment to produce ethanol.
Since joining the company in October 2006 , Li has executed a previously developed plan to list China Agri in Hong Kong, a job he completed in March 2007 . Now he must knit together the disparate financial management and reporting systems of more than 30 subsidiaries, nurture what he calls a “capital-markets-driven” culture of transparency and corporate governance, and manage outsized investor expectations (at one point in April, China Agri’s stock price was worth 85% more than its listing price).
He is also installing a standardized ERP and database system, and is helping find a service provider to monitor and analyze the company’s operating risks. Above all, Li is a key player in China Agri’s grand plan to spearhead the mainland’s ethanol revolution, which requires financial savvy to fund refinery construction, mergers and acquisitions, research and development, and other costly initiatives. It’s worlds away from Li’s previous jobs with Hong Kong blue chips Hutchison Whampoa and Esprit Holdings. But then that’s the point. A certified public accountant and chartered financial analyst from Hong Kong, Li is transferring skills learned at venerable, established Hong Kong-based Asian multinationals and importing them into a Chinese state-owned environment desperately in need of the know-how.
In this, Li is part of a growing band of young, Western-educated Hong Kong professionals attracted by the possibilities of reinvigorating Chinese enterprises, an adventurous fraternity that currently includes Daniel Lai and Eric Leung, the CFOs respectively of Tianjin Port Development Holdings and China Gas. Typically brought in to reassure foreign investors as the mainland company seeks a listing, professionals such as Li see their role stretching beyond reporting and control to include strategy and capital markets transactions. It remains to be seen whether their enthusiasm and expertise can win over old-line subordinates, transform sclerotic financial systems, and give them a say over strategic decisions.
Jennifer Li, 40 year old CFO of Baidu, China’s top Internet search provider.
Jennifer Li previously was the North America controller of GMAC, the financing arm of General Motors. Jennifer Li has spent her whole career with GM, working in treasury in New York and Singapore before serving as CFO of GM China and later of GMAC’s North American operations.
Currently, she joins a young and vibrant company Baidu, but one with its own set of challenges. Among them: sustaining Baidu’s blistering rate of growth (second quarter, 2008 revenues were up 100 percent compared with the previous year) and managing some controversial aspects of the company’s business, including a successful MP3 search function that provides links to copyrighted music.
Youre being watched
The staggering, and fast growing, information-crunching capabilities of data mining technology broaden the definition of what is considered suspicious.
Facts.
>FAST, a Norwegian company bought by Microsoft in 2008 for USD1.3billion, collects data from more than 300 sources( including the web) for national data mining programmes in a dozen of countries in Asia, Europe and North America.
>Swedish Parliament in June 2008, voted in law a data mining programmes strongly backed by defence ministry, will provide sweeping powers to monitor international electronic messages and telephone traffic.
> Companies, and especially credit- reporting firms, generally enjoy more latitude than goverment bodies do in making personal information available to third parties. They find "intelligence agencies *" are eager clients. Note*: Intelligence agencies in US, Canada, China, Germany, Israel, Singapore and Taiwan.
> Narayanan Kulathuramaiyer, an expert in data mining at UNIMAS, a Malaysian university, says companies are selling database access to intelligence and law enforcement agencies " at a level you would not even imagine".
Faster,heavier and larger
1853 first passenger service
63,000 km long network
7,000 stations
1.34 milion workers
17 milion daily passengers
USD19.2 billion revenue 2008
USD 6 billion cash surplus from bankruptcy in 2003
There is no great mystery behind the strategy of this turnaround. It is common knowledge that the marginal cost in a capital-intensive business like Indian Railways is substantially less than the average cost of operations. It is for this reason that it followed a strategy of playing on volumes, driving down unit cost, reducing tariffs and increasing market share to achieve record profits. The focus is on increasing yield-per-train rather than increasing tariff-per-passenger or per tonne. To sum it up, we are faster, heavier and larger. Each word is worth US$2 billion so far.
Chief strategist - No Havard graduate dressed in a traditional white Indian kurta, the silver-haired legendary Lalu Prasad, current India's railways minister.
Lesson learn ?
An analogy similiar to Utility (Conventional Banks) vs Casino ( Dealer / Broker - "WallStreet casino culture" )
Remedy : Two routes
Route 1 > separate utility from casino narrow banking prevents company relying on assets of unsophisticated customers as collateral of their highly sophisticated trading.
Route 2 > regulates casino sufficiently to ensure the failure so that they can not jeopardised the utility.
Global financial crisis sums up
Wednesday, October 15, 2008
Life finds it's identity
Passion .
Patience .
Preserverance
Meet the Scholars
The most exciting phrase to hear in science, the one that heralds new discoveries, is not 'Eureka!' but 'That's funny...' Isaac Asimov
Work grows out of other work, and there are very few eureka moments. Anish Kapoor
People think of these eureka moments and my feeling is that they tend to be little things, a little realisation and then a little realisation built on that. Roger Penrose